Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Brett's NBA Bet of the Night

I've lost 3 in a row. I've realize that in the league "Where Amazing Happens" it's nearly impossible to predict anything. The T-Wolves shot about 134% from the field last night, while the Nuggets and Bucks shot about 0.34%. With this in mind, I'm going to implement a new system. Whenever I see some line I like, I'll inexplicably pick the opposite, because hey, it's "Where the Inexplicable Happens". Teams in the NBA don't try, so I'm not going to try either.

Portland (+4.5) at Oklahoma City:

I thought this line should be in the 7-8 range. When guessing today's lines, I picked OKC -7.5. With that in mind, I should really like the Thunder. Think again! Using my opposite system, let's make some money on the Blazers!

Chicago (-10) vs. Atlanta

Atlanta just beat the Heat by 12 on the road last night. Tonight they take on the Bulls in Chicago. Thinking that last night was a great win, and the momentum could be there, I guess this line to be around 5. With it being a huge 5 points different, you'd think I'd love the Hawks with the points, and I do. But this is a system play. Blow 'em out Bulls!

Season Totals: 1-3-0

Playoff Fantasy Challenge

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How to sign up: At the ESPN homepage, scroll to the the fantasy icon, and click on the Gridiron Playoff Ch. drop down. Search the name of the group, then type in the password.

Name of the Group: catch or no catch
Password: tebow15

Monday, January 2, 2012

Kyle's NBA Pick of the Night


Orlando -6 at Detroit

I've watched enough of the Pistons as I can stand for one year (one game). That one game, even though they beat the Pacers at home, told me all I need to know about them. Jonas Jerebko, Rodney Stuckey, the skeleton of Tayshawn Prince. The Pistons have been as poorly run as a franchise could be since the days of their finals appearances. Look for Dwight to absolute annihilate the Pistons overmatched front court. Magic should roll by double digits.


Season Record: 1-0

Brett's NBA Bet of the Night

It's been a few nights since I posted a pick. I was pretty heated after losing an Over in the Magic/Bobcats game that was way over pace through 30 or so minutes. Going to have 2 plays tonight, hopefully we can win them both:

Spurs (-5) at Timberwolves

What a dewcut.
The T-Wolves are coming off of a big victory at home against Dallas last night. Though they are probably improved, I don't see them beating two elite Western Conference teams on back to back nights. Tony Parker is going to be too quick, Manu will be too wily, and DeJaun Blair will try too much against Kevin Love. Love will put up his stats, but they'll all be for naught. Spurs by 10.

Milwaukee at Denver Over 197


This is a system play, a system whose name is too long to repeat. It fits though; Denver scores in bunches and is on the third night of a back-to-back-to-back. Thusly, I don't expect Denver to spend too much energy on the defensive end. The Bucks, also fitting to the system, can score points: averaging over 98 points per game so far this year. As long as the teams don't shoot miserably from the outside, expect some points.

Season Status: 1-1-0

Sunday, January 1, 2012

Week 17 confidence picks

Final week of pick'em and it's a huge one for me. I currently sit 2nd, just 7 points out of 1st. I am 10 points up on 3rd so I can afford to take so risks and go for it all. Very strange week this week with teams resting starters. Hopefully most people are out of the loop and pick based on teams records.

Current Standings:
1441 points
1 weekly win
2nd out of 110

Home teams are in bold.


16- Pats over Bills. Scuba Tom should have an easy day against the miserable Buffalo Bills.

15- Saints over Panthers
14- Steelers over Browns
13- 49ers over Rams
12- Lions over Packers. Rodgers and Clay Matthews are sitting this one out. No real attempt for the Packers to win this one. Lions -3 may have been the best early line of all-time. Easy money if you got on that one early. The line went all the way up to Lions -7.

11- Titans over Texans. Texans also resting most of their starters here. Titans need to win this to have a shot at the playoffs and should be able to pull it out against the Texans 2nd team.

10- Eagles over Redskins
9- Tebows over Chiefs. Everyone loves the Chiefs because they beat the Packers 2 weeks ago but everyone forgets that they lost at home last week and might have just been lucky against Green Bay. KC is a bad football team and with the division on the line the Broncos should be able to win this one.

8- Cowboys over Giants. You should put this one much lower than I did. The guy in the lead in my league loves the Giants and goes huge on them every week so I know I can make up ground with this pick. If I didnt know he loved the Giants I would only put this at like 2 points. Still would pick the Cowboys though.

7- Jags over Colts. Colts have to lose if they want to get Andrew Luck. Something fishy will happen here so they can lock that pick down.

6- Falcons over Bucs. If the Lions win then the Falcons are locked into the 6 seed and playing for nothing. They play after the Lions game is over and should know what they are playing for. That worries me and you might see many Falcons players sit.

5- Jets over Dolphins. Jets need a win to have a shot at the playoffs. Reggie Bush is out for the Dolphins. That should really slow down their offense and gives the Jets the edge in this one.

4- Ravens over Bengals. The Ravens are only 4-3 on the road this year.

3- Vikings over Bears
2- Seahawks over Cardinals
1- Raiders over Chargers

Week 17 NFL Picks

Brett:

Well all, it's the last week of the season. I'm slightly profitable right now on the season after a rough 5 week stretch. This week is going to be the make or break week: go over .500 for profit, under .500 for a loss. I'm going to try to stick with teams that have something to play for this week and fade teams that have nothing to play for. With that in mind, here are my Week 17 picks:

1. New York Jets (+3) at Miami - The Jets have a pretty slim chance at the playoffs, but make no doubt, they'll be playing to win. Miami will be without Reggie Bush in this one. I think this is a bigger deal than most people think it is. Believe me, I wince when I say this, but Reggie Bush has been the heart of their offense for most of the year. The Jets will win, but they Can't Wait to get to the golf course. Take the points.

2. Tennessee (-1) at Houston - Another team here in the Titans that need a win and some help to get in. They'll come out firing on a Houston team that has absolutely nothing to play for. I don't expect to see the starters for most of the game here. Hopefully Matt Hasselbeck can put together some kind of game and win it for the Titans.

3. Detroit (-3) vs. Green Bay - Make no mistake, I'd love to see Aaron Rodgers sling it around all day. However, with the depleted Packer offensive line, injuries all over team, and nothing to play for, he won't play very much. I'm not sure Detroit will play their starters the whole game either, but Jim Schwartz is just enough of an idiot to try to blow the Packers out. Back the Lions.


4. Denver (-2) vs. Kansas City - TEBOW, TEBOW, TEBOW time! The Chiefs stink.


5. Baltimore (-1.5) at Cincinnati - Both teams need to win. Baltimore is the far better team. They won't allow the Bengals to make the playoffs. That is all.


Last Week: 2-3
Total Season: 23-21-1




Kyle:

1.) Vikings -2.5 vs Bears: The Bears can't wait for this nightmare of a 2nd half to end. The Vikings on the other hand are young and hungry to gain some momentum heading into next year. Look for Jared Allen to create some havoc and turnovers on Josh McCown.

2.) Denver -2 vs Kansas City: TEBOW TEBOW TEBOW!

3.) Jags -3 vs Colts: The Colts I think have won their quota for the "Seriously, we're not tanking for luck" idea, so look for them to completely lay down in this one. The Jags should be able to run the ball at will in this one, and their defense isn't all that bad.

4.) Jets +3 at Miami: The Jets are in a must win situation, and Sanchez and company usually thrive when the lights are shining the brightest. Brandon Marshall should be shut down once again by Darrelle Revis, and Reggie Bush is going to miss the game due to injury. That leaves the Dolphins handcuffed with little offensive weapons. Look for the Jets to win a low scoring one.

5.) Carolina and New Orleans Under 56: This line seems extra high knowing the fact that the Saints could rest their offensive players halfway through the game if they do some scoreboard watching. I know these are two potent offensive teams, but 56?? Come on.

Last Week: 1-4

All time: 15-20