Today's bet:
Duke +8 Ohio State
At Ohio State.
Logic: Ohio State is probably a better team and it should be a pretty crazy atmosphere in Columbus, but +8 is a lot of points for a Coach K team to be getting. I expect a pretty close game, with either team capable of winning. So why wouldn't I take a free 8 points?
- Ohio State's defense forces teams to take perimeter shots. Guess who loves taking and making perimeter shots?
- Duke's defense also forces teams out of the paint. So although they allow a high percentage on 2pt% shots, they don't allow many points in the paint. Maybe OSU can change that, but the scheme won't be favorable for it. OSU is a great shooting 2pt% team and very medicore from 3pt%.
- Duke has been on the receiving end of 81.5% FT shooting so far in the year, and still are 7-0 against the 22nd hardest schedule so far.
- Duke will need to keep the ball and not turn it over if they want to keep it close. Ohio State forces the 5th most turnovers per possession on defense (mostly from Aaron Craft)
This Week: 1-0
Overall 2-0
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