Last week was not one of my best weeks but it didn't really hurt me. I actually gained on the guy in 1st by 3 points. I really missed a chance to make up some ground last week but I can dwell on that. Didn't go too crazy this week. I am going to wait until my opponents make mistakes. Which they have been lately. If you need to make up some ground and want to go a little crazy, move the Cowboys and Broncos up.
Current Standings:
1137 points
1 weekly win
3rd out of 110
Home teams are in bold, percentage is the percentage of people that are currently picking each team.
15- Ravens (99%) over Colts. The poor colts get another top team on the road this week. They are now running out of chances to get a win and unless Peyton comes back for week 17, I don’t think they will win a game.
14- Packers (96%) over Raiders. Remember when the Patriots went 16-0 in 2007, they almost lost two games against very bad teams down the stretch. You never know who could be that team to give the undefeated team a tough game. Going undefeated isn’t as easy as the Packers are making it look and at some point the packers opponent could play up to them and give them a tough game. I still don’t think Rodgers is going to let them lose though. This is Rodgers year and he seems driven to show that he is the best QB ever. With a win this week Green Bay would get to an impressive 19 straight wins.
13- Patriots (98%) over Redskins. I actually think the Redskins might put up a fight in this one. Roy Helu has been very good the past 2 weeks and should have another good game against the Pats weak D. I also like Santana to have a decent day. Pats will win but the Redskins have been feisty at times this year.
12- Jets (95%) over Chiefs. Thanks to a hail mary at the end of the 1st half, Tyler Palko and the Chiefs picked up a win against the Bears last week. The win was pretty much pure luck and I don’t think they are as lucky this week. You also may be thinking that Kansas City could be starting Kyle Orton this week but that doesn’t look likely after he injured his thumb last week. KC pulled an ineffective Palko last week and on his first play, Orton dislocated his index finger. Even with Orton the Chiefs are miserable and I think the Jets win easy.
11- Chargers (86%) over Bills. I think it is time for everyone to hop back on the Chargers bandwagon. I know this was their only win in the past 2 months but it also was the only time all year that they have been healthy on offense. Malcom Floyd had 4 catches for 104 and a TD in his 1st game since October and looks to be what Rivers and the Chargers really needed to get back on track. Ryan Mathews also is looking 100% and played a big part in opening up the passing game for them. Mathews had 112 yards on 13 carries and showed off how truly talented he is when healthy.San Diego has also had plenty of problems along the offensive line but with the addition on Jared Gaither they seem to have fixed some of the problems for the time being. Early in Gaither’s career it looked like he might become a star but some injuries have slowed him down for the past 2 years. Gaither is now on his 3rd team this year but at 25 still has a chance to turn his career around.
San Diego is still alive in the playoff hunt and could be a very dangerous team down the stretch. Even when they were losing this year, they were playing every team tough. I see a lot of value in them down the stretch. I know everyone has been burned by them at some point but it might be time to give them one last chance.
Buffalo on the other hand doesn’t look like they have any chance of turning their 5 game losing streak around. Once they lost Fred Jackson the offense really fall apart. They can’t put up points like they did earlier in the season and with their poor defense they really need to. Don’t let this matchup fool you, Buffalo is bad and San Diego is -7 and really should most likely be bigger favorites. With Buffalo having to travel cross country on top of all this, I don’t think they have any chance and the Chargers win this one easy. This could be a decent spot to make up some ground while people are still worried about the Chargers.
10- Seahawks (96%) over Rams. People don’t seem to really be on the Seahawks bandwagon yet but I think this might be a good week to jump on. Seattle has actually played pretty decent this year and still has a great home field advantage. They beat the Rams in St. Louis 24-7 just 3 weeks ago and I expect about the same outcome in this one.
9- Broncos (82%) over Bears. The Bears will be without Cutler and Forte for this and I don’t see how they can score any points. Last week they only scored 3 against a terrible Chiefs team. Denver has a much better defense than KC and should be able to shut down Chicago easily. The Broncos are favored for once but at -3.5, I think the line is still too low. Tebow actually had a pretty good week throwing the ball last week and had 149.3 passer rating. He is now 6-1 as a starter and has put the Broncos in the lead in the AFC West.
8- 49ers (94%) over Cardinals
7- Lions (96%) over Vikings
6- Saints (93%) over Titans
5- Cowboys (49%) over Giants. Everyone is starting to jump on the Giants bandwagon after they played Green Bay tough last week but I just don’t see it. Teams play up to good teams at home sometimes and I think that was the case for New York last week. They still have a miserable defense. I don’t see how they can stop the Cowboys in this one. Dallas will most likely also have Miles Austin back this week. They have not had their full complement of weapons too often this year and should really show off how high powered their offense can be this week. Much like San Diego, people should jump on the bandwagon for the stretch run. The Cowboys defense might have some trouble but I think they can slow down the Giants offense more than the Giants can slow them down.4- Falcons (77%) over Panthers
3- Bengals (47%) over Texans
2- Dolphins (69%) over Eagles. Vick and Maclin should be back this week and I really have no idea what will happen in this one. Miami is on a roll but maybe the Eagles can play well for once.
1- Jags (29%) over Buccaneers
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