Friday, December 23, 2011

Week 15 Suck For Luck Standings

I have not talked about this for a while because for the past month it looked like the Colts were a lock to get the #1 pick but that all changed in the past 2 weeks. Last week The Colts got their 1st win of the year over the Titans and they kicked off this week with a win at home over the division leading Texans. They are now tied with 2 other teams and it ooks like they might not get the pick after all.

Standings

Colts 2-13 (final game @ Jags)
Rams 2-12 (@ Steelers, 49ers)
Vikings 2-12 (@ redskins, Bears)


With the Colts already beating the best two teams in their division back to back it is not that far fetched that they could beat Jacksonville. The Jaguars should only be about a 3 point favorite in that game. This might change everything for the Colts and could mean that Peyton's job is safe after all. If they don't get Luck, they would most likely not go with a QB and stick with Peyton for the time being. The Colts have plenty of needs elsewhere and should look to move back if they don't get #1.

The Vikings used the 12th overall pick last year to draft their QB of the future Christian Ponder. While Ponder has looked good at times I am sure Minnesota would jump on the chance to take luck with the #1 pick. This would most likely mean that Luck and Ponder would battle for the starting job in camp and would eventually mean that Ponder would be traded elsewhere. This isn't going to be that hard of a decision for the Vikings.

The Rams on the other hand have one hell of a decision on their hands. 2 years ago they used the #1 overall pick on Sam Bradford and gave him a massive contract. While Bradford looked good last year, he hasn't been the same this year. He has been banged up a bit but it doesn't really seem like he has improved much over last season. While I am sure St. Louis would love to draft Luck and trade Bradford, I am not sure that is a real possibility right away. Because of the large amount of guaranteed money that Bradford has in his contract it would be very hard for The Rams to trade him because of the huge cap penalty they would have to pay. I don't think the Rams will trade the pick but of the 3 teams they are the only team that I could actually see doing it. Bradford still has huge upside and they might be better off getting a bunch of nice assets in return for the #1 pick. If they do take Luck then Bradford's days are numbered but I don't think he will be on his way out the door right away. Expect an intense position battle in camp between Luck and Bradford. I would think they would start Bradford for a time to showcase him so they could trade him in the 2013 off season and give Luck the keys to the team.

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